NCAA Tournament March Madness
#94 San Francisco
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Projection: likely out
San Francisco’s profile mixes a couple of eye‑catching neutral wins over Minnesota and Mississippi State with a string of losses that undercut the résumé. An eye‑opening road defeat at Memphis and neutral setbacks to Colorado and Nevada reveal trouble closing games against better opponents away from home, and the unexpected home loss to North Alabama is a damaging blemish. The quality wins give the Dons headline value but they have not consistently backed those up in true road and major‑site settings. Upcoming chances at St. Louis and on the road at Seattle and Oregon State are the kinds of opportunities that can erase earlier damage while home dates with St. Mary’s and the matchups against Gonzaga are high‑visibility tests that will shape perception. Protecting the home court in the conference run and finding at least one big result away would change the conversation, whereas splitting the middling league dates and losing the marquee games would leave the earlier blemishes as the dominant narrative.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/8 | @Memphis | 65 | L76-70 |
| 11/12 | Portland St | 183 | W80-70 |
| 11/15 | Bradley | 125 | W75-64 |
| 11/18 | Northwestern LA | 300 | W84-64 |
| 11/22 | (N)Minnesota | 115 | W77-65 |
| 11/27 | (N)Colorado | 63 | L79-69 |
| 11/28 | (N)Nevada | 87 | L81-65 |
| 12/3 | North Alabama | 217 | L65-63 |
| 12/7 | (N)Mississippi St | 82 | W65-62 |
| 12/13 | @St Louis | 42 | 19% |
| 12/17 | (N)Loyola-Chicago | 291 | 87% |
| 12/21 | Morgan St | 363 | 99% |
| 12/28 | @Seattle | 109 | 44% |
| 12/30 | @Oregon St | 179 | 63% |
| 1/2 | San Diego | 257 | 90% |
| 1/4 | Portland | 244 | 89% |
| 1/8 | @Loy Marymount | 137 | 52% |
| 1/10 | @Pepperdine | 294 | 81% |
| 1/13 | St Mary's CA | 32 | 33% |
| 1/18 | Washington St | 175 | 81% |
| 1/24 | @Gonzaga | 3 | 3% |
| 1/28 | @Santa Clara | 67 | 27% |
| 1/31 | Pacific | 123 | 70% |
| 2/3 | Loy Marymount | 137 | 73% |
| 2/7 | @St Mary's CA | 32 | 16% |
| 2/12 | Oregon St | 179 | 82% |
| 2/15 | @San Diego | 257 | 76% |
| 2/18 | Gonzaga | 3 | 10% |
| 2/21 | Santa Clara | 67 | 49% |
| 2/28 | @Pacific | 123 | 48% |